About Predicta
Predicta started from a simple idea: to give any football fan a way to understand a match through numbers, without jargon and without false promises.
The app relies on a proven statistical model, the Poisson distribution, enhanced with a few adjustments (recent form, home advantage, low scores) that we explain in detail on this site. We prefer an understandable model to a “black box”.
Predicta is developed independently. It is not affiliated with any club, league, media outlet or betting provider, and receives no payment to influence its estimates.
Our principles
Transparency
The method is publicly described, along with its limits.
Honesty
No promise of winnings, no success rate shown without proof.
Respect for privacy
Only the data needed for the service is kept.
Responsible play
A tool for understanding and enjoyment, not an incentive to bet.